Interaksi Antara Atmosfer dan Laut Pemicu Cuaca Ekstrem untuk Meningkatkan Akurasi Prediksi Onset Hujan di Pesisir

Erma Yulihastin

doi:10.55981/brin-others.1096

Interaksi Antara Atmosfer dan Laut Pemicu Cuaca Ekstrem untuk Meningkatkan Akurasi Prediksi Onset Hujan di Pesisir

Authors

Erma Yulihastin

Badan Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

DOI: https://doi.org/10.55981/brin-others.1096

Keywords:

Interaksi Atmosfer dan Laut, Cuaca Ekstrem, Benua Maritim Indonesia, Akurasi Prediksi Hujan

Synopsis

Atmosfer di Benua Maritim Indonesia (BMI) memegang peranan utama bagi dinamika cuaca dan iklim global. Komposisi darat-laut dan topografi di BMI yang kompleks menjadikan cuaca dan iklim di wilayah ini paling sulit diprediksi. Padahal, perbaikan akurasi prediksi cuaca dan iklim di BMI menjadi kunci untuk meningkatkan kinerja model global dalam memprediksi hujan dan kebutuhan mendasar sekaligus aplikatif di tengah krisis iklim global yang semakin memburuk. Buku ilmiah berjudul Interaksi Antara Atmosfer Dan Laut Pemicu Cuaca Ekstrem untuk Meningkatkan Akurasi Prediksi Onset Hujan di Pesisir memaparkan penemuan mendasar mengenai mekanisme cuaca ekstrem dan lokasi-lokasi kunci di perairan sekitar Indonesia yang dapat memicu cuaca ekstrem pada skala lokal-meso-global yang berdampak meluas bahkan katastropik, serta menawarkan solusi strategis bagi perbaikan akurasi prediksi hujan di BMI.

Buku ini diharapkan memberikan kebaruan bagi pembaca tentang prediksi onset hujan ekstrem di wilayah BMI dengan melakukan instalasi model Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) dan Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) di Laboratorium High Performance Computing (HPC) BRIN. Pengembangan metode tersebut didasarkan pada riset-riset cuaca ekstrem yang dipicu oleh interaksi atmosfer-laut dan menjadi landasan untuk mengembangkan produk inovasi DSS NAKULA yang saat ini dalam tahap uji implementasi untuk wilayah BMI. Pengembangan DSS NAKULA merupakan salah satu solusi kemandirian nasional dalam penguasaan teknologi prediksi cuaca, termasuk untuk meningkatkan kemampuan dalam memproduksi data-data prediksi cuaca skala regional wilayah Indonesia melalui metode downscaling model prediksi cuaca resolusi tinggi secara spasial dan temporal. Kemandirian nasional terhadap data-data prediksi cuaca menjadi permasalahan utama ketergantungan Indonesia terhadap produk prediksi cuaca dari negara-negara maju selama ini.

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Author Biography

Erma Yulihastin, Badan Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Menamatkan Sekolah Dasar Negeri Pangkatrejo, tahun 1991, Sekolah Menengah Pertama Negeri Sekaran, tahun 1994, dan Sekolah Menengah Atas Negeri 2 Lamongan, tahun 1997. Memperoleh gelar Sarjana Geofisika dan Meteorologi dari ITB tahun 2002, gelar Magister Sains Kebumian dari ITB tahun 2014, dan gelar Doktor bidang Sains Atmosfer dari ITB tahun 2020.

Menghasilkan 55 karya tulis ilmiah (KTI) serta 46 artikel ilmiah populer, baik yang ditulis sendiri maupun bersama penulis lain dalam bentuk bagian dari buku, jurnal, dan prosiding. Sebanyak 41 KTI ditulis dalam bahasa Inggris dengan 12 KTI diterbitkan dalam jurnal internasional bereputasi menengah dan tinggi, 6 KTI ditulis dalam bahasa Indonesia, 1 paten, dan 3 produk inovasi purwarupa dalam tahap implementasi untuk wilayah Indonesia, yaitu: Numerical-based Atmosphere-ocean prediction and Knowledge Using deep Learning Artificial Intelligence (NAKULA), tahap uji coba skala Laboratorium untuk: Knowledge of Risk and Early drought-fire warning System for Needed Action (KRESNA) dan Assessment of a Near-real Time Alert of Salt production Endorsed for Needed-based Action (ANTASENA).

Ikut serta dalam pembinaan kader ilmiah, yaitu sebagai pembimbing jabatan fungsional peneliti terhadap para Peneliti Ahli Pertama, Muda dan Madya BRIN, pembimbing mahasiswa magang Merdeka Belajar Kampus Merdeka juga skripsi mahasiswa S-1 ITB, IPB, UNPAD, UNDIP, UNSOED, UB, UNTAN, UPI, UHAMKA, penguji tesis S-2 ITB, dan pembimbing mahasiswa S-3 Sains Atmosfer ITB melalui skema degree by research BRIN.

Aktif dalam organisasi profesi ilmiah, yaitu sebagai anggota American Geophysical Union (2017–sekarang), Asia-Oceania Geophysical Union (2017–sekarang), Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (2018–sekarang), pengurus Asosiasi Ahli Atmosfer Indonesia (2019–sekarang), pengurus Himpunan Ahli Geofisika Indonesia (2019–sekarang), pengurus Perhimpunan Meteorologi Pertanian Indonesia Provinsi Jawa Barat (2020–sekarang). Menerima tanda penghargaan Peneliti Terbaik LAPAN (2016) dan Satyalancana Karya Satya 10 Tahun (tahun 2018) dari Presiden RI.

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